Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

64 : 662023.04.11 · 종료

KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY72.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +72.2%

VALUE EDGE+72.2%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADEB

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsKaraganda

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08

139.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

27.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

72.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

W · 60-61W · 60-77W · 68-70W · 82-51L · 91-66

Karaganda

L · 81-94L · 59-55W · 81-71L · 81-67W · 62-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.11	Kaspiy Aktau	64 : 66	Karaganda
2022.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau	45 : 73	Karaganda
2022.10.25	Kaspiy Aktau	56 : 69	Karaganda