Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
63 : 892023.04.11 · 종료
Tigers-KazATUAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.6%
VALUE EDGE+79.6%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsTigers-KazATU
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.58
132.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
134.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.6일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 59-77L · 78-87L · 81-71W · 91-89W · 67-83
Tigers-KazATU
L · 58-98W · 64-98L · 68-70L · 80-75W · 78-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.08 | ChelSU Kostanay | 61 : 69 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.03.02 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 71 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.01.27 | ChelSU Kostanay | 72 : 89 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.11.13 | ChelSU Kostanay | 92 : 56 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.10.19 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 46 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.04.10 | Tigers-KazATU | 80 : 86 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.04.06 | Tigers-KazATU | 84 : 75 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.13 | Tigers-KazATU | 76 : 82 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.10.14 | Tigers-KazATU | 73 : 58 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.04.11 | ChelSU Kostanay | 63 : 89 | Tigers-KazATU |