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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Aktobe 2HOME · -
84 : 912023.04.10 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-12.58 Point MarginHigher is better -14.67
153.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.83
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe 2
L · 60-77L · 63-81L · 74-71L · 67-83L · 78-82
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 64-98W · 66-105L · 73-94L · 62-61L · 104-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.10Aktobe 284 : 91GOTOBELES Astana
2022.11.19Aktobe 266 : 77GOTOBELES Astana
2022.10.24Aktobe 266 : 63GOTOBELES Astana