Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

PavlodarHOME · -

60 : 612023.04.10 · 종료

Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.0%

VALUE EDGE+53.0%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

PavlodarAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-16.75 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42

155.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 140.08

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation2.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Pavlodar

L · 89-60W · 80-70L · 91-89L · 75-84L · 74-70

Kaspiy Aktau

W · 60-77W · 68-70W · 82-51L · 91-66W · 62-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.10	Pavlodar	60 : 61	Kaspiy Aktau
2022.11.19	Pavlodar	70 : 47	Kaspiy Aktau
2022.10.24	Pavlodar	77 : 73	Kaspiy Aktau
2015.12.12	Kaspiy Aktau	88 : 34	Pavlodar