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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
59 : 552023.04.09 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.0%
VALUE EDGE+63.0%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
L · 80-70W · 74-71L · 78-64L · 63-74W · 80-70
Karaganda
W · 81-71L · 81-67W · 62-61W · 78-82W · 81-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.08Karaganda20 : 0Atyrau 2
2023.12.14Atyrau 264 : 76Karaganda
2023.12.11Karaganda62 : 86Atyrau 2
2023.10.12Karaganda72 : 74Atyrau 2
2023.04.09Atyrau 259 : 55Karaganda
2022.11.18Atyrau 261 : 66Karaganda
2022.10.23Atyrau 261 : 77Karaganda
2021.03.24Atyrau 264 : 83Karaganda
2021.02.03Atyrau 256 : 85Karaganda
2020.10.29Atyrau 270 : 82Karaganda