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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Aktobe 2HOME · -
60 : 772023.04.09 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.3%
VALUE EDGE+68.3%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -3.75
156.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.75
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe 2
L · 63-81L · 74-71L · 67-83L · 78-82L · 94-80
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 68-70W · 82-51L · 91-66W · 62-61W · 70-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.09Aktobe 260 : 77Kaspiy Aktau
2022.11.18Aktobe 247 : 55Kaspiy Aktau
2022.10.23Aktobe 253 : 58Kaspiy Aktau