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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
ShymkentHOME · -
102 : 772023.04.08 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.3%
VALUE EDGE+53.3%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
ShymkentAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
+14.42 Point MarginHigher is better +21.83
134.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shymkent
W · 73-94W · 91-66W · 93-100W · 94-80W · 82-88
BC Almaty 2
W · 81-67W · 75-84W · 55-89W · 63-74W · 67-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.08Shymkent102 : 77BC Almaty 2
2022.11.17Shymkent83 : 79BC Almaty 2
2022.10.22Shymkent98 : 96BC Almaty 2