Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan

Atyrau 2HOME · -
74 : 712023.04.07 · 종료
Aktobe 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.9%
VALUE EDGE+78.9%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsAktobe 2
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-15.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.92
106.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.25
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
L · 78-64L · 63-74W · 80-70W · 67-76L · 90-85
Aktobe 2
L · 67-83L · 78-82L · 94-80L · 61-80W · 59-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.07 | Atyrau 2 | 74 : 71 | Aktobe 2 |
| 2022.11.16 | Atyrau 2 | 90 : 73 | Aktobe 2 |
| 2022.10.21 | Atyrau 2 | 60 : 66 | Aktobe 2 |
| 2020.10.27 | Atyrau 2 | 87 : 72 | Aktobe 2 |
| 2020.10.23 | Atyrau 2 | 84 : 54 | Aktobe 2 |