Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

BC Almaty 2HOME · -

81 : 672023.04.07 · 종료

KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +71.0%

VALUE EDGE+71.0%

FAIR ODDS1.41

GRADES

BC Almaty 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+18.58 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08

161.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

71.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BC Almaty 2

W · 75-84W · 55-89W · 63-74W · 67-110W · 51-99

Karaganda

W · 62-61W · 78-82W · 81-66W · 95-51L · 68-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.07	BC Almaty 2	81 : 67	Karaganda
2022.11.16	BC Almaty 2	80 : 65	Karaganda
2022.10.21	BC Almaty 2	93 : 76	Karaganda
2020.12.17	BC Almaty 2	79 : 64	Karaganda
2020.11.25	BC Almaty 2	51 : 85	Karaganda