Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

ShymkentHOME · -

91 : 662023.04.06 · 종료

Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEB

ShymkentAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+14.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.25

134.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.08

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

88.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Shymkent

W · 93-100W · 94-80W · 82-88W · 68-78W · 117-64

Kaspiy Aktau

W · 62-61W · 70-63L · 67-76L · 51-94W · 75-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Shymkent	91 : 66	Kaspiy Aktau
2022.11.15	Shymkent	80 : 63	Kaspiy Aktau
2022.10.20	Shymkent	100 : 44	Kaspiy Aktau