Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

67 : 832023.04.06 · 종료

ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.3%

VALUE EDGE+67.3%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEA

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-11.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

155.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.75

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation14.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

L · 78-82L · 94-80L · 61-80W · 59-88L · 74-80

ChelSU Kostanay

L · 55-89L · 62-61L · 80-70L · 66-82L · 59-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Aktobe 2	67 : 83	ChelSU Kostanay
2022.11.15	Aktobe 2	79 : 77	ChelSU Kostanay
2022.10.20	Aktobe 2	61 : 70	ChelSU Kostanay