Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
75 : 842023.04.06 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.6%
VALUE EDGE+84.6%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADES
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+19.00
151.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.00
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 74-70L · 81-66L · 82-88W · 75-79W · 74-80
BC Almaty 2
W · 55-89W · 63-74W · 67-110W · 51-99W · 51-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.23 | BC Almaty 2 | 107 : 79 | Pavlodar |
| 2023.04.06 | Pavlodar | 75 : 84 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.11.15 | Pavlodar | 62 : 95 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.10.20 | Pavlodar | 72 : 91 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.11.19 | Pavlodar | 73 : 76 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.11.03 | Pavlodar | 82 : 105 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.02.28 | Pavlodar | 101 : 77 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.02.03 | BC Almaty 2 | 56 : 85 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.12.15 | BC Almaty 2 | 46 : 88 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.11.20 | Pavlodar | 107 : 67 | BC Almaty 2 |