Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan

KaragandaHOME · -
62 : 612023.04.06 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.00
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 78-82W · 81-66W · 95-51L · 68-78W · 99-90
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 104-61L · 70-63L · 51-99W · 59-68L · 89-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.06 | Karaganda | 62 : 61 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2022.11.15 | Karaganda | 82 : 58 | GOTOBELES Astana |