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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
62 : 612023.04.06 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -14.00
100.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.17
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 78-82W · 81-66W · 95-51L · 68-78W · 99-90
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 104-61L · 70-63L · 51-99W · 59-68L · 89-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Karaganda62 : 61GOTOBELES Astana
2022.11.15Karaganda82 : 58GOTOBELES Astana