Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
55 : 892023.03.21 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.92
132.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.25
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 62-61L · 80-70L · 66-82L · 59-68W · 67-73
BC Almaty 2
W · 63-74W · 67-110W · 51-99W · 51-94W · 62-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 64 : 79 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2023.03.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 55 : 89 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2023.02.17 | ChelSU Kostanay | 41 : 96 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.12.07 | ChelSU Kostanay | 48 : 103 | BC Almaty 2 |