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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
80 : 702023.03.19 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.5%
VALUE EDGE+69.5%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.92
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
W · 67-76L · 90-85W · 89-56L · 62-81W · 80-72
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 66-82L · 59-68W · 67-73L · 80-72L · 73-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.26Atyrau 280 : 45ChelSU Kostanay
2024.01.21ChelSU Kostanay66 : 63Atyrau 2
2023.11.10ChelSU Kostanay79 : 69Atyrau 2
2023.03.19Atyrau 280 : 70ChelSU Kostanay
2023.02.20Atyrau 280 : 72ChelSU Kostanay
2022.12.10Atyrau 289 : 93ChelSU Kostanay