Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

70 : 632023.03.19 · 종료

GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.1%

VALUE EDGE+62.1%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEA

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-2.92 Point MarginHigher is better -13.50

139.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.33

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.4 / 15

Prediction separation10.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

L · 67-76L · 51-94W · 75-77L · 67-73L · 73-77

GOTOBELES Astana

L · 51-99W · 59-68L · 89-56L · 83-49W · 73-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.19	Kaspiy Aktau	70 : 63	GOTOBELES Astana
2023.02.20	Kaspiy Aktau	73 : 77	GOTOBELES Astana
2022.12.10	Kaspiy Aktau	68 : 90	GOTOBELES Astana