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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
67 : 762023.03.18 · 종료
Atyrau 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -15.25
138.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 106.92
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 51-94W · 75-77L · 67-73L · 73-77W · 73-64
Atyrau 2
L · 90-85W · 89-56L · 62-81W · 80-72L · 73-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.18Kaspiy Aktau67 : 76Atyrau 2
2023.02.19Kaspiy Aktau73 : 64Atyrau 2
2022.12.09Kaspiy Aktau50 : 89Atyrau 2
2015.11.12Atyrau 243 : 93Kaspiy Aktau