Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
59 : 682023.03.17 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.2%
VALUE EDGE+65.2%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.83
132.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 67-73L · 80-72L · 73-86W · 77-61L · 41-96
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 89-56L · 83-49W · 73-77L · 66-103L · 77-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.17 | ChelSU Kostanay | 59 : 68 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2023.02.18 | ChelSU Kostanay | 77 : 61 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2022.12.08 | ChelSU Kostanay | 65 : 93 | GOTOBELES Astana |