Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

51 : 942023.03.17 · 종료

BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY86.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +86.8%

VALUE EDGE+86.8%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADEB

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

+1.25 Point MarginHigher is better +16.17

138.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.50

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%

0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

13.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

86.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

W · 75-77L · 67-73L · 73-77W · 73-64L · 65-89

BC Almaty 2

W · 62-81W · 86-87W · 66-103W · 65-89W · 41-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.17	Kaspiy Aktau	51 : 94	BC Almaty 2
2023.02.18	Kaspiy Aktau	65 : 89	BC Almaty 2
2022.12.08	Kaspiy Aktau	73 : 82	BC Almaty 2