Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -
78 : 822023.03.15 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-12.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-16.08
155.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
100.58
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe 2
L · 94-80L · 61-80W · 59-88L · 74-80L · 54-90
Karaganda
W · 81-66W · 95-51L · 68-78W · 99-90W · 54-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.15 | Aktobe 2 | 78 : 82 | Karaganda |
| 2023.02.17 | Aktobe 2 | 54 : 90 | Karaganda |
| 2022.12.27 | Aktobe 2 | 67 : 89 | Karaganda |
| 2020.10.28 | Aktobe 2 | 48 : 64 | Karaganda |
| 2020.10.24 | Aktobe 2 | 52 : 79 | Karaganda |