Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Tigers-KazATUHOME · -

75 : 792023.03.12 · 종료

PavlodarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.8%

VALUE EDGE+67.8%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEB

Tigers-KazATUAnalysis MetricsPavlodar

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -15.58

135.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.92

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tigers-KazATU

L · 99-90L · 68-101L · 92-82W · 60-76W · 76-67

Pavlodar

W · 74-80W · 61-79L · 100-75L · 55-81L · 76-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.12	Tigers-KazATU	75 : 79	Pavlodar
2023.02.14	Tigers-KazATU	76 : 67	Pavlodar
2022.12.24	Tigers-KazATU	73 : 82	Pavlodar