Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
68 : 782023.03.12 · 종료
ShymkentAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.3%
VALUE EDGE+72.3%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADES
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsShymkent
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.42
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
134.42
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 99-90W · 54-90W · 100-75W · 84-66L · 82-93
Shymkent
W · 117-64W · 68-101W · 98-81W · 55-81W · 82-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.10 | Karaganda | 0 : 20 | Shymkent |
| 2025.03.04 | Karaganda | 55 : 90 | Shymkent |
| 2025.01.29 | Karaganda | 73 : 91 | Shymkent |
| 2024.12.13 | Karaganda | 67 : 115 | Shymkent |
| 2024.11.08 | Karaganda | 63 : 79 | Shymkent |
| 2024.04.09 | Shymkent | 75 : 60 | Karaganda |
| 2023.12.15 | Karaganda | 74 : 116 | Shymkent |
| 2023.12.12 | Shymkent | 101 : 56 | Karaganda |
| 2023.10.13 | Shymkent | 78 : 69 | Karaganda |
| 2023.03.12 | Karaganda | 68 : 78 | Shymkent |