Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
67 : 732023.02.21 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.08
138.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 73-77W · 73-64L · 65-89L · 91-75W · 71-68
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 80-72L · 73-86W · 77-61L · 41-96L · 71-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.20 | Kaspiy Aktau | 62 : 61 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.02.21 | Kaspiy Aktau | 67 : 73 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.12.11 | Kaspiy Aktau | 71 : 68 | ChelSU Kostanay |