Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

73 : 642023.02.19 · 종료

Atyrau 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.1%

VALUE EDGE+54.1%

FAIR ODDS1.85

GRADEA

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -15.25

137.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 106.92

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

0.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.6 / 15

Prediction separation3.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

L · 65-89L · 91-75W · 71-68L · 68-90L · 50-89

Atyrau 2

L · 90-53W · 91-83L · 89-93W · 50-89L · 80-45

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.18	Kaspiy Aktau	67 : 76	Atyrau 2
2023.02.19	Kaspiy Aktau	73 : 64	Atyrau 2
2022.12.09	Kaspiy Aktau	50 : 89	Atyrau 2
2015.11.12	Atyrau 2	43 : 93	Kaspiy Aktau