Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
65 : 892023.02.18 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.9%
VALUE EDGE+84.9%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.17
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.50
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 91-75W · 71-68L · 68-90L · 50-89L · 73-82
BC Almaty 2
W · 41-96L · 91-83L · 94-80W · 70-107W · 73-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.17 | Kaspiy Aktau | 51 : 94 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2023.02.18 | Kaspiy Aktau | 65 : 89 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.12.08 | Kaspiy Aktau | 73 : 82 | BC Almaty 2 |