Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

54 : 902023.02.17 · 종료

KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY86.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +86.9%

VALUE EDGE+86.9%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADEA

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-10.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08

156.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

13.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

86.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

L · 98-81L · 60-76W · 70-74L · 60-83L · 67-89

Karaganda

W · 100-75W · 84-66L · 82-93L · 56-80W · 67-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.15	Aktobe 2	78 : 82	Karaganda
2023.02.17	Aktobe 2	54 : 90	Karaganda
2022.12.27	Aktobe 2	67 : 89	Karaganda
2020.10.28	Aktobe 2	48 : 64	Karaganda
2020.10.24	Aktobe 2	52 : 79	Karaganda