Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
100 : 752023.02.16 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 84-66L · 82-93L · 56-80W · 67-89W · 81-74
Pavlodar
L · 55-81L · 76-67W · 60-83W · 61-96L · 81-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.14 | Karaganda | 81 : 66 | Pavlodar |
| 2023.02.16 | Karaganda | 100 : 75 | Pavlodar |
| 2022.12.26 | Karaganda | 81 : 74 | Pavlodar |
| 2021.02.25 | Pavlodar | 66 : 70 | Karaganda |
| 2021.01.31 | Pavlodar | 56 : 86 | Karaganda |
| 2020.12.18 | Pavlodar | 46 : 75 | Karaganda |
| 2020.11.24 | Karaganda | 76 : 59 | Pavlodar |