Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

67 : 892022.12.27 · 종료

KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY83.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +83.3%

VALUE EDGE+83.3%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADEA

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08

153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

16.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

83.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

L · 114-81L · 74-86L · 72-69L · 73-77L · 54-88

Karaganda

W · 81-74W · 79-39L · 73-82W · 72-60W · 45-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.15	Aktobe 2	78 : 82	Karaganda
2023.02.17	Aktobe 2	54 : 90	Karaganda
2022.12.27	Aktobe 2	67 : 89	Karaganda
2020.10.28	Aktobe 2	48 : 64	Karaganda
2020.10.24	Aktobe 2	52 : 79	Karaganda