Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
81 : 742022.12.26 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.8%
VALUE EDGE+76.8%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 79-39L · 73-82W · 72-60W · 45-73L · 50-67
Pavlodar
L · 81-98W · 73-82W · 73-77W · 71-79W · 70-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.14 | Karaganda | 81 : 66 | Pavlodar |
| 2023.02.16 | Karaganda | 100 : 75 | Pavlodar |
| 2022.12.26 | Karaganda | 81 : 74 | Pavlodar |
| 2021.02.25 | Pavlodar | 66 : 70 | Karaganda |
| 2021.01.31 | Pavlodar | 56 : 86 | Karaganda |
| 2020.12.18 | Pavlodar | 46 : 75 | Karaganda |
| 2020.11.24 | Karaganda | 76 : 59 | Pavlodar |