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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
79 : 392022.12.25 · 종료
AltayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsAltay
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -19.25
100.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 35.25
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
L · 73-82W · 72-60W · 45-73L · 50-67W · 61-66
Altay
W · 72-69L · 126-67L · 82-41L · 41-99L · 122-45

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.29Karaganda20 : 0Altay
2024.02.26Karaganda20 : 0Altay
2024.01.28Altay0 : 20Karaganda
2023.11.12Altay62 : 73Karaganda
2023.03.13Karaganda95 : 51Altay
2023.02.15Karaganda84 : 66Altay
2022.12.25Karaganda79 : 39Altay