Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Aktobe 2HOME · -
73 : 772022.12.23 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.8%
VALUE EDGE+68.8%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsPavlodar
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-11.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
153.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe 2
L · 54-88L · 66-77L · 47-55L · 51-84L · 90-73
Pavlodar
W · 71-79W · 70-47L · 81-50L · 78-76L · 62-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.11 | Aktobe 2 | 74 : 80 | Pavlodar |
| 2023.02.13 | Aktobe 2 | 60 : 83 | Pavlodar |
| 2022.12.23 | Aktobe 2 | 73 : 77 | Pavlodar |
| 2020.12.15 | Pavlodar | 81 : 62 | Aktobe 2 |
| 2020.11.25 | Pavlodar | 98 : 74 | Aktobe 2 |