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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
91 : 832022.12.11 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME25.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better +16.17
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.50
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
25.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
74.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
L · 89-93W · 50-89L · 80-45W · 89-52W · 82-41
BC Almaty 2
L · 94-80W · 70-107W · 73-82W · 48-103W · 54-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.20Atyrau 263 : 74BC Almaty 2
2023.02.21Atyrau 262 : 81BC Almaty 2
2022.12.11Atyrau 291 : 83BC Almaty 2
2020.12.15Atyrau 262 : 81BC Almaty 2
2020.11.23Atyrau 269 : 74BC Almaty 2
2020.03.01Atyrau 268 : 59BC Almaty 2
2020.02.01BC Almaty 269 : 88Atyrau 2
2019.12.11Atyrau 244 : 56BC Almaty 2
2019.11.19BC Almaty 273 : 79Atyrau 2
2019.10.14Atyrau 288 : 84BC Almaty 2