Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

71 : 682022.12.11 · 종료

ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.3%

VALUE EDGE+62.3%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEB

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08

137.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.92

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.3 / 15

Prediction separation10.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

L · 68-90L · 50-89L · 73-82L · 73-63L · 45-73

ChelSU Kostanay

W · 89-93L · 59-92L · 65-93L · 48-103L · 55-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.20	Kaspiy Aktau	62 : 61	ChelSU Kostanay
2023.02.21	Kaspiy Aktau	67 : 73	ChelSU Kostanay
2022.12.11	Kaspiy Aktau	71 : 68	ChelSU Kostanay