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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
89 : 932022.12.10 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.92
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
W · 50-89L · 80-45W · 89-52W · 82-41L · 77-63
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 59-92L · 65-93L · 48-103L · 55-90W · 41-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.26Atyrau 280 : 45ChelSU Kostanay
2024.01.21ChelSU Kostanay66 : 63Atyrau 2
2023.11.10ChelSU Kostanay79 : 69Atyrau 2
2023.03.19Atyrau 280 : 70ChelSU Kostanay
2023.02.20Atyrau 280 : 72ChelSU Kostanay
2022.12.10Atyrau 289 : 93ChelSU Kostanay