Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
68 : 902022.12.10 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.42
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
0.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 50-89L · 73-82L · 73-63L · 45-73L · 70-47
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 70-107W · 65-93L · 89-52L · 71-79W · 66-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.19 | Kaspiy Aktau | 70 : 63 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2023.02.20 | Kaspiy Aktau | 73 : 77 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2022.12.10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 68 : 90 | GOTOBELES Astana |