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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
89 : 522022.12.07 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -14.42
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.92
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
45.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
54.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
W · 82-41L · 77-63L · 61-66W · 90-73W · 85-93
GOTOBELES Astana
L · 71-79W · 66-77L · 70-79W · 57-73L · 64-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.16Atyrau 289 : 56GOTOBELES Astana
2022.12.07Atyrau 289 : 52GOTOBELES Astana