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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
48 : 1032022.12.07 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +87.0%
VALUE EDGE+87.0%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-4.08 Point MarginHigher is better +16.17
132.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.50
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
13.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
87.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 55-90W · 41-99L · 60-93L · 88-51W · 78-76
BC Almaty 2
W · 54-88W · 74-98W · 122-45L · 83-79W · 80-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.21ChelSU Kostanay64 : 79BC Almaty 2
2023.03.21ChelSU Kostanay55 : 89BC Almaty 2
2023.02.17ChelSU Kostanay41 : 96BC Almaty 2
2022.12.07ChelSU Kostanay48 : 103BC Almaty 2