Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
48 : 1032022.12.07 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.0%
VALUE EDGE+87.0%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.17
132.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 55-90W · 41-99L · 60-93L · 88-51W · 78-76
BC Almaty 2
W · 54-88W · 74-98W · 122-45L · 83-79W · 80-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 64 : 79 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2023.03.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 55 : 89 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2023.02.17 | ChelSU Kostanay | 41 : 96 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.12.07 | ChelSU Kostanay | 48 : 103 | BC Almaty 2 |