Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
55 : 902022.11.20 · 종료
Tigers-KazATUAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.1%
VALUE EDGE+50.1%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsTigers-KazATU
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.75
136.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
139.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.4일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 41-99L · 60-93L · 88-51W · 78-76L · 79-77
Tigers-KazATU
L · 74-98W · 70-79L · 64-69L · 95-69L · 85-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.12 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 90 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.04.08 | ChelSU Kostanay | 61 : 69 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.03.02 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 71 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.01.27 | ChelSU Kostanay | 72 : 89 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.11.13 | ChelSU Kostanay | 92 : 56 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.10.19 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 46 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.04.10 | Tigers-KazATU | 80 : 86 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.04.06 | Tigers-KazATU | 84 : 75 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.13 | Tigers-KazATU | 76 : 82 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.10.14 | Tigers-KazATU | 73 : 58 | ChelSU Kostanay |