Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

51 : 842022.11.17 · 종료

Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY87.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +87.7%

VALUE EDGE+87.7%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better +16.00

153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.17

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

1.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

12.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

87.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

L · 90-73W · 79-77L · 63-84W · 66-63L · 53-58

Bars Petropavlovsk

W · 95-69W · 38-86L · 66-90W · 49-85W · 94-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.08	Aktobe 2	63 : 81	Bars Petropavlovsk
2022.11.17	Aktobe 2	51 : 84	Bars Petropavlovsk
2022.10.22	Aktobe 2	45 : 99	Bars Petropavlovsk
2020.10.29	Aktobe 2	41 : 100	Bars Petropavlovsk
2020.10.25	Aktobe 2	54 : 90	Bars Petropavlovsk