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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
ShymkentHOME · -
83 : 792022.11.17 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.1%
VALUE EDGE+70.1%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEB
ShymkentAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+14.42 Point MarginHigher is better +16.17
134.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.50
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 85.7%
0.6일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shymkent
W · 64-90W · 80-63W · 66-90W · 82-68W · 56-88
BC Almaty 2
W · 80-65W · 62-95W · 63-84W · 68-93W · 127-43

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.08Shymkent102 : 77BC Almaty 2
2022.11.17Shymkent83 : 79BC Almaty 2
2022.10.22Shymkent98 : 96BC Almaty 2