Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

GOTOBELES AstanaHOME · -

64 : 902022.11.16 · 종료

ShymkentAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY81.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +81.2%

VALUE EDGE+81.2%

FAIR ODDS1.23

GRADEA

GOTOBELES AstanaAnalysis MetricsShymkent

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-14.42 Point MarginHigher is better +14.42

149.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 134.42

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

1.4일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

18.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

81.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

GOTOBELES Astana

L · 82-58W · 91-67L · 66-63W · 99-76W · 47-102

Shymkent

W · 80-63W · 66-90W · 82-68W · 56-88W · 98-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.07	GOTOBELES Astana	73 : 94	Shymkent
2022.11.16	GOTOBELES Astana	64 : 90	Shymkent
2022.10.21	GOTOBELES Astana	68 : 94	Shymkent