Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
78 : 762022.11.16 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
136.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 79-77L · 76-79W · 40-104L · 56-88L · 70-39
Pavlodar
L · 62-95L · 91-67W · 77-73L · 94-51W · 73-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Pavlodar | 55 : 86 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2026.10.22 | Pavlodar | 61 : 88 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.04.07 | ChelSU Kostanay | 91 : 89 | Pavlodar |
| 2022.11.16 | ChelSU Kostanay | 78 : 76 | Pavlodar |
| 2022.10.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 87 | Pavlodar |