Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
BC Almaty 2HOME · -
80 : 652022.11.16 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
BC Almaty 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+16.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-16.08
159.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
100.58
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Almaty 2
W · 62-95W · 63-84W · 68-93W · 127-43L · 98-96
Karaganda
W · 82-58W · 56-69L · 49-85W · 61-77W · 70-39
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.07 | BC Almaty 2 | 81 : 67 | Karaganda |
| 2022.11.16 | BC Almaty 2 | 80 : 65 | Karaganda |
| 2022.10.21 | BC Almaty 2 | 93 : 76 | Karaganda |
| 2020.12.17 | BC Almaty 2 | 79 : 64 | Karaganda |
| 2020.11.25 | BC Almaty 2 | 51 : 85 | Karaganda |