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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
90 : 732022.11.16 · 종료
Aktobe 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsAktobe 2
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -11.75
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.42
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
W · 85-93W · 123-55L · 82-68L · 61-77L · 73-68
Aktobe 2
W · 79-77L · 63-84W · 66-63L · 53-58L · 45-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.07Atyrau 274 : 71Aktobe 2
2022.11.16Atyrau 290 : 73Aktobe 2
2022.10.21Atyrau 260 : 66Aktobe 2
2020.10.27Atyrau 287 : 72Aktobe 2
2020.10.23Atyrau 284 : 54Aktobe 2