Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
82 : 582022.11.15 · 종료
GOTOBELES AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsGOTOBELES Astana
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.42
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 56-69L · 49-85W · 61-77W · 70-39L · 93-76
GOTOBELES Astana
W · 91-67L · 66-63W · 99-76W · 47-102L · 68-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.06 | Karaganda | 62 : 61 | GOTOBELES Astana |
| 2022.11.15 | Karaganda | 82 : 58 | GOTOBELES Astana |