Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

79 : 772022.11.15 · 종료

ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY85.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +85.7%

VALUE EDGE+85.7%

FAIR ODDS1.17

GRADEA

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.75

153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 136.08

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

14.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

85.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

L · 63-84W · 66-63L · 53-58L · 45-99W · 60-66

ChelSU Kostanay

L · 76-79W · 40-104L · 56-88L · 70-39L · 66-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Aktobe 2	67 : 83	ChelSU Kostanay
2022.11.15	Aktobe 2	79 : 77	ChelSU Kostanay
2022.10.20	Aktobe 2	61 : 70	ChelSU Kostanay