Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Kaspiy AktauHOME · -

56 : 692022.10.25 · 종료

KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY64.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +64.9%

VALUE EDGE+64.9%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEA

Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsKaraganda

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08

137.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.7 / 15

Prediction separation12.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

35.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

64.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kaspiy Aktau

L · 77-73W · 53-58L · 78-70W · 99-40L · 100-44

Karaganda

L · 49-85W · 61-77W · 70-39L · 93-76W · 76-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.11	Kaspiy Aktau	64 : 66	Karaganda
2022.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau	45 : 73	Karaganda
2022.10.25	Kaspiy Aktau	56 : 69	Karaganda