Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
77 : 732022.10.24 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.7%
VALUE EDGE+50.7%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 94-51W · 73-68W · 66-87L · 72-91W · 82-68
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 53-58L · 78-70W · 99-40L · 100-44L · 77-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.10 | Pavlodar | 60 : 61 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2022.11.19 | Pavlodar | 70 : 47 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2022.10.24 | Pavlodar | 77 : 73 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.12.12 | Kaspiy Aktau | 88 : 34 | Pavlodar |